SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
54.23% ( -0.76) | 22.06% ( 0.14) | 23.71% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.05) | 39.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( 0.05) | 61.33% ( -0.05) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.68% ( -0.44) | 42.31% ( 0.44) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( 0.55) | 29.7% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( 0.66) | 65.76% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 23.71% |
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