SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
51.88% ( 0.58) | 24.09% ( 0.02) | 24.03% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( -0.63) | 47.78% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.58) | 69.97% ( 0.58) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.02) | 18.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.45% ( -0.03) | 49.55% ( 0.03) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( -0.85) | 34.22% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0.93) | 70.92% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.03% |
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