We can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides struggling for form in recent weeks. The visitors undoubtedly have more individual quality, but home advantage and a determination to end their losing run should help Kansas avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
37.68% ( 0.1)	25.66% ( -0.01)	36.66% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.35% (

0.04)

48.65% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.23% (

0.04)

70.76% (

-0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.07)

25.26% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

0.1)

60.02% (

-0.1)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0.02)

25.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.04)

60.8% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 37.68%

Los Angeles Galaxy 36.66%

Draw 25.65%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.68%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.66%