Whether or not the Toronto defeat will prove to have just been a blip for the Union will be found this weekend, as the conference leaders take on more Canadian opposition in Montreal. With the tools to hurt most teams in this division, expect a confident Union side to shrug off a stuttering Montreal outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	CF Montreal
59.2%	23.25%	17.55%

Both teams to score 46.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87%

52.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15%

73.85%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69%

17.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34%

47.66%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.59%

43.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.36%

79.64%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 59.19%

CF Montreal 17.55%

Draw 23.25%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.19%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.55%