Both teams are coming off impressive performances in midweek, with each having plenty to play for at this stage of the campaign.
Overall, Vancouver have been the more consistent of the two, but it seems like the Pigeons' are starting to gel as a unit at a critical juncture, so we expect a stalemate from two sides in high spirits.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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