SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
53.72% ( -0) | 22.84% | 23.44% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.01) | 42.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( 0.01) | 65.34% ( -0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( 0.01) | 15.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.77% ( 0.01) | 45.23% ( -0) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 0.01) | 32.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( 0.01) | 68.55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.58% Total : 23.44% |
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