Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
66.29% (![]() | 20.5% (![]() | 13.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% (![]() | 48.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% (![]() | 71.03% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.09% (![]() | 13.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.66% (![]() | 41.34% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.48% (![]() | 47.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% (![]() | 82.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 13.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.85% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.5% | 0-1 @ 4.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 13.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: