SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
60.14% ( -0.49) | 21.35% ( 0.21) | 18.51% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.51) | 42.73% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.51) | 65.13% ( 0.51) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( -0.31) | 13.79% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.88% ( -0.63) | 41.12% ( 0.63) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( 0.01) | 36.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( 0.01) | 73.54% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.04% Total : 60.14% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.51% |
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