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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
57.27% ( 0.5) | 23.28% ( -0.22) | 19.44% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( 0.52) | 49.63% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( 0.46) | 71.65% ( -0.46) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( 0.37) | 17.09% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( 0.64) | 47.29% ( -0.64) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.01) | 39.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( -0.01) | 76.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.44% |
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