SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
44.46% ( -0.8) | 26.21% ( 0.19) | 29.33% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( -0.44) | 52.83% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.38) | 74.45% ( 0.38) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.57) | 23.65% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0.83) | 57.76% ( 0.84) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.23) | 32.65% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 0.25) | 69.19% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.33% |
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