Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 27 | -6 | 39 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 5 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | -6 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
47.43% ( 3.2) | 25.86% ( -0.09) | 26.7% ( -3.11) |
Both teams to score 50.7% ( -1.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.09% ( -1.33) | 52.91% ( 1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% ( -1.15) | 74.52% ( 1.14) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.92) | 22.31% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( 1.36) | 55.77% ( -1.36) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% ( -3.09) | 34.73% ( 3.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% ( -3.41) | 71.47% ( 3.41) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.89) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.7% |
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