NY Red Bulls and Orlando have already met on two occasions this season, with the Red Bulls winning 3-0 in the MLS before the Lions thumped Saturday's opponents 5-1 in the US Open Cup.
We expect more goals to follow at the weekend, but we think that NY Red Bulls will get the better of an Orlando side, who have lost their last three MLS games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
-2.06) 
0.38) 
