Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Dallas |
48.05% ( 0.14) | 23.57% ( 0.11) | 28.38% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% ( -0.65) | 41.99% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.61% ( -0.66) | 64.39% ( 0.66) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( -0.19) | 17.67% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% ( -0.34) | 48.3% ( 0.34) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( -0.5) | 27.76% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% ( -0.65) | 63.34% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Dallas |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.8% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.38% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: