SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
48.16% ( -0.05) | 22.65% ( 0.04) | 29.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.42% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.17) | 37.05% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.19) | 59.25% ( 0.19) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.08) | 15.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% ( -0.15) | 44.88% ( 0.16) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( -0.08) | 24.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( -0.11) | 59.26% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.2% |
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