Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
