These teams have a great deal of respect for one another, and for good reason, as they each possess a ton of quality in the final third with strikers who rarely miss even half-chances, plus it is a knockout game, so we are likely to see a lot of hesitancy in the early stages from both sides before things open up a little.
The Pigeons have given the Revs a lot to deal with, but there are just so many match-winners on this New England side that it is hard to bet against them even if their top goalscorer does not play.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).
