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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 at 11pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
AF

Portland
3 - 0
Austin

Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Berhalter (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
61.91%19.44%18.65%
Both teams to score 61.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.58%33.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8%55.21%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56%10.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.97%34.04%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96%31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64%67.36%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 61.91%
    Austin FC 18.65%
    Draw 19.44%
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 7.29%
3-0 @ 6.23%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 3.52%
4-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 1.86%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-2 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.44%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-1 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 18.65%

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