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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39
Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
NE

DC United
2 - 3
New England

Robertha (51'), Abila (90+3')
Felipe (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buksa (61'), Gil (64'), Bou (79')
Polster (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
50.25%23.16%26.6%
Both teams to score 59.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61%41.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.21%63.79%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38%16.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55%46.45%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43%64.57%
Score Analysis
    DC United 50.25%
    New England Revolution 26.6%
    Draw 23.15%
DC UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-1 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.6%

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