SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.12% ( -0.04) | 25.96% ( 0.02) | 30.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.06) | 51.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.05) | 72.98% ( 0.05) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.04) | 23.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.06) | 57.63% ( 0.07) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.01) | 30.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.01) | 66.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.92% |
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