SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.07% ( -2.43) | 21.1% ( 0.73) | 19.83% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.71) | 39.52% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( -0.74) | 61.87% ( 0.74) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.92) | 13.08% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( -1.9) | 39.69% ( 1.9) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.36) | 33.49% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( 1.46) | 70.13% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.34)1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.46)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.57% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.83% |
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