SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
55.31% ( 0.01) | 22.52% | 22.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.01) | 42.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.01) | 65.33% ( 0.01) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0) | 15.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.78% ( 0) | 44.22% ( -0) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.01) | 33.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.01) | 69.81% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.17% |
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