Both teams will be low on confidence following their recent poor run of results, but Real Salt Lake tend to perform well on their travels, and we think that they will get the better of Portland on Wednesday to claim a narrow victory.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
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