SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
54.08% ( -0.34) | 24.75% ( -0) | 21.17% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( 0.38) | 53.31% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( 0.32) | 74.86% ( -0.33) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.02) | 19.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( 0.02) | 51.64% ( -0.03) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.58) | 40.03% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( 0.53) | 76.68% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.17% |
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