New York have not been as good on their own patch as they have been away from home, and Montreal are in good scoring form which could give them the edge this weekend. After netting seven goals in their last two games, which have both come on their travels, Montreal are certainly expected to get on the scoresheet a couple of times, and the Red Bulls may not be able to come up with enough of a response to rescue a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for CF Montreal in this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
50.84%	25.62%	23.54%

Both teams to score 48.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68%

54.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3%

75.7%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61%

54.38%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73%

38.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97%

75.02%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.83%

CF Montreal 23.54%

Draw 25.61%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 12.62% 2-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.83%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.54%