SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.09%).
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
65.1% ( -0.04) | 20.9% ( -0.01) | 13.99% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.13) | 48.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.12) | 71.03% ( -0.12) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( 0.03) | 14.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( 0.05) | 42.05% ( -0.06) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.69% ( 0.15) | 46.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.04% ( 0.11) | 81.95% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 65.09% | 1-1 @ 9.91% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.99% |
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