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NY
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
NY

NY City
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls have shown themselves to be a quality attacking side, but we believe it will be much harder to penetrate the Pigeons' backline, which have conceded a goal or fewer in four of their last five home fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
57.79% (-2.03 -2.03) 22.19% (0.285 0.29) 20.02% (1.745 1.75)
Both teams to score 54.37% (2.134 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (1.33 1.33)44.21% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (1.282 1.28)66.58% (-1.282 -1.28)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (-0.209 -0.21)15.02% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (-0.395 -0.4)43.5% (0.394 0.39)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (2.659 2.66)36.01% (-2.662 -2.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (2.621 2.62)72.79% (-2.622 -2.62)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.79%
    New York Red Bulls 20.02%
    Draw 22.18%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.721 -0.72)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.79%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.356 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.411 0.41)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.233 0.23)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 DC United
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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