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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
54.07% ( -1.64) | 22.93% ( 0.39) | 23% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.28) | 43.79% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( -0.27) | 66.18% ( 0.27) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.66) | 16.13% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -1.21) | 45.56% ( 1.21) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.98) | 32.93% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 1.08) | 69.51% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23% |
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