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DU
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
TF

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-2 DC United
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-3 Toronto

Neither side are particularly strong defensively, but Toronto have shown they have more attacking depth than many had thought, whereas the Black and Red seem to rely heavily on Benteke. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawToronto
54.07% (-1.639 -1.64) 22.93% (0.387 0.39) 23% (1.253 1.25)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.276 -0.28)43.79% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.27 -0.27)66.18% (0.27000000000001 0.27)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)16.13% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-1.21 -1.21)45.56% (1.21 1.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (0.985 0.98)32.93% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (1.081 1.08)69.51% (-1.08 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    DC United 54.07%
    Toronto 23%
    Draw 22.92%
DC UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 4-2 DC United
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-0 DC United
Sunday, May 19 at 1.05am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 5-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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