SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
46.08% ( -1.85) | 24.72% ( 0.57) | 29.19% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -1.73) | 46.69% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -1.64) | 68.95% ( 1.64) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( -1.47) | 20.33% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( -2.39) | 52.72% ( 2.38) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.03) | 29.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( 0.04) | 65.62% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.19% |
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