While the Union have been unusually poor at home this year, they will face a Toronto side yet to prove they can be consistently solid defensively, an area that Philly have improved upon in recent outings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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