SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
46.05% ( -0.85) | 24.19% ( 0.17) | 29.76% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.37) | 44% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.37) | 66.38% ( 0.37) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( -0.5) | 19.26% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% ( -0.83) | 50.99% ( 0.84) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.28) | 27.84% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.36) | 63.43% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.76% |
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