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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
49.64% ( -0.3) | 24.67% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( 0.4) | 48.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( 0.36) | 70.89% ( -0.36) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.03) | 19.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( 0.05) | 51.67% ( -0.05) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.49) | 33.36% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.02% ( 0.54) | 69.98% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.69% |
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