SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for DC United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for DC United.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
43.65% ( 3.23) | 24.87% ( -0.45) | 31.48% ( -2.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 1.18) | 46.25% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 1.11) | 68.55% ( -1.1) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 2.06) | 21.23% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 3.09) | 54.13% ( -3.09) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -1.16) | 27.82% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -1.51) | 63.41% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.45)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.48% |
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