SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
45.87% ( 0.23) | 24.16% ( 0.07) | 29.97% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.47) | 43.73% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.46) | 66.12% ( 0.45) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.09) | 19.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.15) | 50.93% ( 0.15) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.44) | 27.56% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.57) | 63.08% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.97% |
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