SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.08% ( -3.61) | 21.56% ( 1.24) | 23.36% ( 2.37) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( -2.94) | 37.02% ( 2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( -3.26) | 59.21% ( 3.26) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( -1.99) | 13.47% ( 1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( -4.14) | 40.46% ( 4.14) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( 0.35) | 28.89% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( 0.43) | 64.76% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.45)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.52)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.45)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.33)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.54)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.7)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.36% |
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