SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Jose Earthquakes.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
51.16% ( 0.25) | 23.02% ( -0.06) | 25.82% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.13) | 41.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.2% ( 0.13) | 63.8% ( -0.13) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 0.13) | 16.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( 0.24) | 45.86% ( -0.24) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.08) | 29.32% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.09) | 65.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.82% |
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