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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
SJ

Kansas
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Salloi (90+4')
Lindsey (57'), Zusi (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cardoso (53')
Lopez (40'), Judson (49'), Espinoza (81'), Cardoso (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
63.07%19.22%17.71%
Both teams to score 60.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97%34.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1%55.91%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.67%10.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.22%33.79%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6%32.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09%68.91%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 63.07%
    San Jose Earthquakes 17.71%
    Draw 19.22%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 7.36%
3-0 @ 6.53%
4-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-0 @ 3.7%
4-2 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 1.9%
5-0 @ 1.68%
5-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 63.07%
1-1 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 3.35%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.22%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-1 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 17.71%

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