SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
59.06% ( 0.02) | 22.37% ( 0.02) | 18.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.15) | 47.1% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.14) | 69.34% ( 0.14) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( -0.04) | 15.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.43% ( -0.08) | 44.57% ( 0.09) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( -0.13) | 39.26% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.04% ( -0.13) | 75.96% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.56% |
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