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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
OC

Philadelphia
2 - 3
Orlando City

Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Orlando City

Philadelphia might be in a difficult run of form at the moment, but they have been a far stronger team throughout the season to this point. The hosts will expect to take all three points this weekend, and the poor start to the campaign that Orlando City have had could continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
51.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 23.37% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 24.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)43.87% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.26% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.98% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)31.41% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)67.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 51.79%
    Orlando City 24.85%
    Draw 23.37%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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