Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
51.79% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -0.05) | 43.87% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -0.05) | 66.26% ( 0.05) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% ( -0.04) | 47.08% ( 0.04) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( -0.02) | 31.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% ( -0.02) | 67.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.85% |
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