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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.58% ( -1.28) | 26.34% ( -0.19) | 31.08% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 1.33) | 52.63% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 1.13) | 74.28% ( -1.13) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.05) | 24.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.05% ( -0.07) | 58.95% ( 0.06) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( 1.74) | 31.29% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( 1.98) | 67.64% ( -1.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.08% |
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