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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
39.68% ( 0.85) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 36.58% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 62.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.01) | 39.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.01) | 61.97% ( 0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.39) | 20.25% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( 0.63) | 52.58% ( -0.63) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.43) | 21.75% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( -0.66) | 54.93% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.58% |
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