SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
53.54% ( 1.1) | 22.97% ( -0.16) | 23.49% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.22) | 43.46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( -0.22) | 65.86% ( 0.22) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.31) | 16.2% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( 0.56) | 45.68% ( -0.56) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( -0.91) | 32.33% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( -1.04) | 68.84% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.49% |
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