Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (11.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
