Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
26.21% ( 0.01) | 25.03% ( 0.01) | 48.76% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.11% ( -0.01) | 49.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( -0.01) | 71.88% ( 0.01) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( 0) | 33.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% ( 0.01) | 70.16% ( -0.01) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.01) | 20.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.04% ( -0.02) | 52.96% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.21% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.76% |
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