SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
42.18% ( 1.75) | 25.69% ( -0.69) | 32.13% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( 2.59) | 49.57% ( -2.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( 2.28) | 71.59% ( -2.28) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 2.05) | 23.34% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.69% ( 2.89) | 57.3% ( -2.89) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.59) | 29.03% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.06% ( 0.73) | 64.94% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.75)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.77) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Tamworth | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | South Shields | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 |
| 6 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Chorley | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| 8 | Chester FCChester | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 29 |
| 11 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | SouthportSouthport | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Blyth Spartans | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 27 |
| 15 | Buxton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 26 |
| 16 | Warrington Town | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 |
| 17 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 |
| 18 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Rushall Olympic | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 22 |
| 22 | Darlington | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 16 |
| 23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 14 |
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