SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
53.13% ( 0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.01) | 22.38% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.02) | 51.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.02) | 72.9% ( -0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.01) | 19.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( 0.02) | 50.82% ( -0.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( 0.01) | 37.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.68% ( 0.01) | 74.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.38% |
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