Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
