Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%).