Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).