Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Chorley win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%).
