SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
36.84% ( 0.1) | 26.49% ( 0.06) | 36.67% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( -0.26) | 52.25% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.22) | 73.95% ( 0.21) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.07) | 27.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( -0.08) | 62.9% ( 0.08) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.22) | 27.52% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -0.28) | 63.03% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.67% |
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