Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Darlington in this match.
