SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
57.38% ( -0.1) | 24.07% ( 0.04) | 18.55% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.07) | 53.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( -0.06) | 75.31% ( 0.06) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( -0.06) | 18.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( -0.11) | 49.89% ( 0.11) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0.03) | 43.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.53% ( 0.03) | 79.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.55% |
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